2025/11/25 USD/JPY Trade Strategy

Today's USD/JPY call: Sell.

It’s a close call, but I’m looking to sell.
I want to go for it, picturing a move one more leg lower on the 4-hour chart.

Scenario A

If price breaks above Line A, I’ll consider the buying flow again.
However, since we’re in a range, I’ll take my time identifying the low that forms the pullback before entering.
Target is around 157.4

Scenario B

I’ll sell from the top of the range.
Given the current flow, the yellow line at 156.8 near the letter B is a candidate for selling the rally.
I’m hoping an opportunity comes somewhere between B and A.
Target is 156

Scenario C

Sell the rally after a break below Line C.
Target is also 156

Review

It played out as Scenario B.

The short was taken after the retracement rally stalled at the yellow line.
Take profit when the 156 target was reached. 77 pips

You might be tempted to take profit earlier, around the spot that looked like it could form a double bottom, and that’s a valid option too.