2025/12/16 USD/JPY Trade Strategy

Today's USD/JPY call: Sell.
The 4-hour and all lower timeframes are pointing to sells, but price is approaching daily chart support, so the action is indecisive.
The green line around 154.5 is a horizontal level acting as daily chart support, so it looks like conditions will stay difficult to trade until it becomes clear whether price breaks up or down from there. There are also market anomalies suggesting technicals tend not to work well in December, so it seems best to trade carefully.
Review

It was Scenario C.
Short around the red circle, where price didn’t retrace any further and started turning down (making lower highs).
Quick take profit as it bounced off the green target line. 23 pips
This article reflects the author's personal view of the market. It does not recommend any specific trade; all investment decisions are your own responsibility.