2025/12/30 USD/JPY Trade Strategy

Today's USD/JPY call: Buy.
It’s easier to buy than yesterday.
I’m watching whether it holds here and rises from higher lows, or breaks below the low.
With just over a day left in the year, I’m hoping for one more leg up.
Review

It was Scenario C.
In the end, price broke below the C line and dropped.
You could go short from circle ①.
However, this is a short-term trade, so it’s a spot where you don’t need to force an entry.
If you did enter, take profit where price stopped at the target blue line at 155.73 and printed a lower wick. 15 pips
This level tends to be a starting point for a reversal to the upside, so holding is strictly off-limits.
Catching the rise after that is difficult.
If you had the bias that price would bounce off the blue line and rise, and were watching closely on the 5-minute chart (M5), going long from circle ② wasn’t impossible… that’s about it.
You could go long at circle ③, the pullback after the rise.
Given the time of day, it’s a bit difficult, though.
This article reflects the author's personal view of the market. It does not recommend any specific trade; all investment decisions are your own responsibility.